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How many copies did Lethal Company sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
$34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.9M before the cut
from 511k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lethal Company out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lethal Company's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 93.2M–114.4M
best case 813.7M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like Lethal Company

The middle of these games

≈ 93.2M–114.4M copies

≈ $371.0M–$632.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1.4M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Competitive + Team-Based + e-sports; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.0M–128.3M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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Free
Free
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.3M–164.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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Free
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Open WorldAction
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
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Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 620.0M–1007.5M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
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Very Positive
FPSShooter
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 79.8M–129.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
$9.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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