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How many copies did Polda 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
from 127 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Polda 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Polda 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 337k–1.2M
best case 4.1M (INSIDE)
Games like Polda 3

The middle of these games

≈ 337k–1.2M copies

≈ $2.8M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: INSIDE at ≈ 3.1M–5.1M copies, ≈ $21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (5 of 8) and Action Roguelike (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2.5D + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Anomaly Agent
2024
Est. copies
≈ 248k–403k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$817k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut
$11.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Action Roguelike2D Platformer
BlazBlue Entropy Effect
2024
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.4M before the cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 525k–853k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before the cut
$37.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
Afterimage
2023
Est. copies
≈ 256k–415k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
MetroidvaniaFemale Protagonist
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$19.0M before the cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Neon Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 586k–952k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.3M before the cut
$19.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
Chinese Online Game
2024
Est. copies
≈ 258k–419k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGAction Roguelike

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