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How many copies did Aonatsu Line sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$241k–$648k after Steam's cut $438k–$997k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Aonatsu Line out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Aonatsu Line's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–218k
best case 312k (Aliya: Timelink)
Games like Aonatsu Line

The middle of these games

≈ 104k–218k copies

≈ $340k–$509k after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Aliya: Timelink at ≈ 238k–387k copies, ≈ $196k–$526k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 473 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 113 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Interactive Fiction (8 of 8) and Word Game (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Interactive Fiction + Visual Novel, priced around $3.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
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$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before the cut
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AdventureSimulation
Aliya: Timelink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 238k–387k
2.0x vs typical
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Visual NovelCasual
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$748k before the cut
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Lay a Beauty to Rest: The Darkness Peach Blossom Spring
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≈ 174k–283k
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AdventureMystery
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Interactive FictionWord Game
候鸟
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≈ 98k–160k
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Word Game2D Platformer
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≈ 25k–41k
too small to compare
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$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$115k before the cut
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Very Positive
Interactive FictionVisual Novel

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