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wishvane

How many copies did PAYDAY 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
from 674k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left PAYDAY 2 out and predicted the genre from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including PAYDAY 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 79.6M–100.0M
best case 813.7M (Counter-Strike 2)
Games like PAYDAY 2

The middle of these games

≈ 79.6M–100.0M copies

≈ $468.4M–$729.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 620.0M–1007.5M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FPS (5 of 6) and Shooter (5 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Action + Battle Royale + Third-Person Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Counter-Strike 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 620.0M–1007.5M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9.8M reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.4M–68.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$466.2M–$1253.5M after Steam's cut $847.6M–$1928.4M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 75.3M–122.4M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.5M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 66.7M–108.4M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$183.2M–$492.6M after Steam's cut $333.1M–$757.9M before the cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.0M–128.3M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter

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