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How many copies did DragonStrike sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 719–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 29 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left DragonStrike out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including DragonStrike's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–10.2M
best case 10.3M (Sons Of The Forest)
Games like DragonStrike

The middle of these games

≈ 1.6M–10.2M copies

≈ $9.7M–$79.0M after Steam's cut

from ~63k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sons Of The Forest at ≈ 7.9M–12.8M copies, ≈ $65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 37k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (4 of 5) and Co-op (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $30.
The era
4 of your 5 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut
$29.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Contraband Police
2023
Est. copies
≈ 636k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.7M before the cut
$29.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSimulation
Chained Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before the cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAdventure
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$42.9M–$115.2M after Steam's cut $77.9M–$177.3M before the cut
$19.99
314k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Slime Rancher 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.0M before the cut
$29.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCute

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