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How many copies did Europa Universalis IV sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8.7M–14.1M
$119.2M–$320.5M after Steam's cut $216.8M–$493.1M before the cut
from 137k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Europa Universalis IV out and predicted the genre from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Europa Universalis IV's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.4M
best case 20.6M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like Europa Universalis IV

The middle of these games

≈ 3.2M–5.4M copies

≈ $50.2M–$112.0M after Steam's cut

from ~91k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.7M–25.6M copies, ≈ $259.5M–$697.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Grand Strategy (5 of 5) and Historical (5 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + Grand Strategy, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Turn-Based + 4X; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 5 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.7M–25.6M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$259.5M–$697.7M after Steam's cut $471.8M–$1073.4M before the cut
$59.99
378k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.6M–25.4M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$214.5M–$576.7M after Steam's cut $390.0M–$887.2M before the cut
$49.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut
$39.99
94k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$91.8M–$246.8M after Steam's cut $166.9M–$379.7M before the cut
$59.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical

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