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How many copies did Paws of Coal sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
from 76 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Paws of Coal out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paws of Coal's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 356k–689k
best case 3.1M (L.A. Noire)
Games like Paws of Coal

The middle of these games

≈ 356k–689k copies

≈ $3.2M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: L.A. Noire at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 946 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Detective (8 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Story Rich, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Enigma of Fear
2024
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before the cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryInvestigation
Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter
2016
Est. copies
≈ 602k–978k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before the cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDetective
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 525k–853k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before the cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Heavy Rain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 768k–1.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before the cut
$19.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 397k–646k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before the cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before the cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
The Case of the Golden Idol
2022
Est. copies
≈ 271k–440k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
$17.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryDetective

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