How much revenue did The Banner Saga make?

$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Banner Saga sell?

Q: How many copies did The Banner Saga sell?

893k to 1.5M copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 893k–1.5M; $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Banner Saga out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Banner Saga's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.6M–8.7M

best case 27.8M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like The Banner Saga

The middle of these games

≈ 5.6M–8.7M copies

≈ $54.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.2M–34.4M copies, ≈ $349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Dungeons & Dragons + Open World Survival Craft; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.2M–34.4M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut $635.1M–$1444.8M before the cut	$59.99	854k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut $158.9M–$361.6M before the cut	$44.99	205k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.7M–10.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut $84.0M–$191.0M before the cut	$24.99	162k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
XCOM® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.0M–$67.1M after Steam's cut $45.4M–$103.3M before the cut	$19.99	109k reviews Very Positive	IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut	$19.99	87k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.7M–33.6M 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut	$19.99	681k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.2M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut $78.4M–$178.5M before the cut	$24.99	218k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before the cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy