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How many copies did Topple Tactics sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 39k–63k
$106k–$285k after Steam's cut $193k–$438k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Topple Tactics out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Topple Tactics's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 777k–4.6M
best case 15.3M (Fall Guys)
Games like Topple Tactics

The middle of these games

≈ 777k–4.6M copies

≈ $3.5M–$19.1M after Steam's cut

from ~46k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fall Guys at ≈ 11.6M–18.9M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 115 to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Physics (4 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Battle Royale.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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3.3x vs typical
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Puzzle-PlatformerExploration

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