wishvane
How many copies did Papers, Please sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
$11.4M–$30.5M net $20.6M–$47.0M gross
from 79k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Papers, Please out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Papers, Please's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 812k–1.2M
best case 2.0M (Age of History II)
The Simulation lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 968k copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 968k copies
≈ $11.5M after Steam's cut
from ~28k reviews
Best case
≈ 2.0M copies
Age of History II · ≈ $4.6M after Steam's cut
from 50k reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

4 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 1 is a breakout hit far above it, and 3 are too small to compare.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Strategy + Historical, priced around $6.
  • The breakout hits carry Historical + War + Turn-Based Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
  • The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, a lane with a long track record.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2024
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.7M net $12.7M–$28.8M gross
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M net $4.5M–$10.3M gross
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 655k–1.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$899k–$2.4M net $1.6M–$3.7M gross
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M net $8.6M–$19.5M gross
$13.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Dystopian Choices Matter +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 512k–831k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.5M net $6.4M–$14.5M gross
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderColony Sim +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 841k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M net $16.8M–$38.2M gross
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderStrategy +6
2025
Est. copies
≈ 574k–932k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.8M net $10.0M–$22.8M gross
$34.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderSimulation +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 620k–1.0M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M net $3.1M–$7.0M gross
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPolitical Sim +6

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