How much revenue did Ceiba make?

$13k–$35k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ceiba sell?

Q: How many copies did Ceiba sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 271 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before the cut; from 271 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Ceiba out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ceiba's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 554–2k

best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)

Games like Ceiba

The middle of these games

≈ 554–2k copies

≈ $2k–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 837k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 4k.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Sci-fi (6 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Psychological Horror + Horror + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut 2023	Est. copies ≈ 837k–1.4M 1535x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before the cut	$17.99	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelChoices Matter
Coldage 2022	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $858–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut	$13.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	Post-apocalypticHand-drawn
Sym.BIOS: Torn Asunder 2023	Est. copies ≈ 546–887 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut	$7.99	22 reviews Positive	Visual NovelChoices Matter
Lightracer Spark 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25k–41k 46x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $90k–$242k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before the cut	$12.99	1k reviews Very Positive	RPGSci-fi
Songs of Rats 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$22k before the cut	$14.99	51 reviews Mostly Positive	RPGChoose Your Own Adventure
Fallen Seeds 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut	$6.99	96 reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelSci-fi
Obreno: Chapter One 2020	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	17 reviews Mostly Positive	Interactive FictionExperimental
我说什么她们都答应（OKeverything） 2024	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut	$9.99	17 reviews Mixed	RomanceRPG