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How many copies did Fallen Seeds sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before the cut
from 96 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fallen Seeds out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallen Seeds's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 150k–335k
best case 1.2M (Senren*Banka)
Games like Fallen Seeds

The middle of these games

≈ 150k–335k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Senren*Banka at ≈ 915k–1.5M copies, ≈ $8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 936 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Anime, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 577k–937k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before the cut
$20.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Lucy -The Eternity She Wished For-
2016
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$942k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
STEINS;GATE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$38.1M before the cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.4M before the cut
$34.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
STEINS;GATE 0
2018
Est. copies
≈ 255k–414k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.1M before the cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PARQUET
2021
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$278k–$749k after Steam's cut $506k–$1.2M before the cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
eden*
2015
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before the cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Muv-Luv Alternative
2018
Est. copies
≈ 115k–186k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before the cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelMechs

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