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How many copies did Nuclear Throne sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 965k–1.6M
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
from 20k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nuclear Throne out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nuclear Throne's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–7.6M
best case 33.1M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Nuclear Throne

The middle of these games

≈ 3.3M–7.6M copies

≈ $15.5M–$49.4M after Steam's cut

from ~89k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.2M–41.0M copies, ≈ $104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 15k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Cells
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$38.2M–$102.8M after Steam's cut $69.5M–$158.2M before the cut
$24.99
183k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction Roguelike
Skul: The Hero Slayer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.1M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.5M before the cut
$19.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.8M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.1M before the cut
$7.99
47k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before the cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsRogue-like
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.2M–41.0M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$104.0M–$279.6M after Steam's cut $189.1M–$430.1M before the cut
$14.99
450k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before the cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.2M after Steam's cut $16.4M–$37.3M before the cut
$4.99
265k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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