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How many copies did FATE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 282k–458k
$619k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left FATE out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FATE's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–5.8M
best case 20.7M (Path of Exile)
Games like FATE

The middle of these games

≈ 3.5M–5.8M copies

≈ $22.3M–$52.1M after Steam's cut

from ~98k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Path of Exile at ≈ 15.8M–25.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 74k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17k to 102k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action RPG (4 of 8) and Hack and Slash (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Hack and Slash, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry MMORPG + Dark Fantasy + Action RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grim Dawn
2016
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SteamSpy 10M–20M
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109k reviews
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Action RPGHack and Slash
Trove
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Free to PlayOpen World
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2021
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≈ 2.6M–4.2M
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The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before the cut
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63k reviews
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Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
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PhysicsRogue-like
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≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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$34.99
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Action RPGLoot
Path of Exile 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$45.9M–$123.5M after Steam's cut $83.5M–$190.0M before the cut
$29.99
225k reviews
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Action RPGHack and Slash
Path of Exile
2013
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
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250k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayDark Fantasy

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