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How many copies did Dawn Destiny's Child sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before the cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dawn Destiny's Child out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawn Destiny's Child's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 470k–1.3M
best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)
Games like Dawn Destiny's Child

The middle of these games

≈ 470k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.4M–$7.2M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 332 to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Historical, priced around $10.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Until Then
2024
Est. copies
≈ 472k–768k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before the cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelPixel Graphics
Doki Doki Literature Club Plus!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 798k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before the cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before the cut
$9.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelHistorical
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 340k–553k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.0M–$42.9M after Steam's cut $29.0M–$66.0M before the cut
$49.99
47k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 364k–592k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$497k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $903k–$2.1M before the cut
$1.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
Suzerain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 292k–475k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelChoose Your Own Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.