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How many copies did Midnight Acres sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 818–1k
$223–$599 after Steam's cut $405–$922 before the cut
from 33 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Midnight Acres out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Midnight Acres's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.2M–17.0M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Midnight Acres

The middle of these games

≈ 5.2M–17.0M copies

≈ $93.3M–$214.0M after Steam's cut

from ~284k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 88k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$94.6M–$254.3M after Steam's cut $171.9M–$391.2M before the cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Metro Exodus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.4M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.5M before the cut
$29.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.2M–$151.0M after Steam's cut $102.1M–$232.3M before the cut
$59.99
137k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldFPS
Far Cry® 4
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.9M–$91.0M after Steam's cut $61.6M–$140.0M before the cut
$29.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$122.7M–$330.0M after Steam's cut $223.1M–$507.7M before the cut
$44.99
400k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies

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