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How many copies did Child of Light sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 755k–1.2M
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
from 13k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Child of Light out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Child of Light's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 894k–1.4M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Child of Light

The middle of these games

≈ 894k–1.4M copies

≈ $7.6M–$14.1M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fantasy (6 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2018
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
20k reviews
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RPGParty-Based RPG
FINAL FANTASY® XIII
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Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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JRPGRPG
Path Of Wuxia
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Est. copies
≈ 754k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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RPGIndie
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut $158.9M–$361.6M before the cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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Pathfinder: Kingmaker — Enhanced Plus Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.3M before the cut
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Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales
2018
Est. copies
≈ 527k–856k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$19.99
17k reviews
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RPGAdventure
Transistor
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before the cut
$19.99
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Great SoundtrackFemale Protagonist
FINAL FANTASY X/X-2 HD Remaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 978k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.1M–$21.7M after Steam's cut $14.7M–$33.3M before the cut
$29.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTurn-Based Combat

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