wishvane
How many copies did Transistor sell?
Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
$8.9M–$24.0M net $16.2M–$36.9M gross
from 31k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Transistor out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Transistor's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.7M–9.2M
best case 53.6M (Stardew Valley)
The Female Protagonist lane

A big, proven genre, though hit-driven: most sell around 7.0M copies, while a few break out far above.

A typical game
≈ 7.0M copies
≈ $49.1M after Steam's cut
from ~155k reviews
Best case
≈ 53.6M copies
Stardew Valley · ≈ $310.3M after Steam's cut
from 1.0M reviews
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

5 of your 8 games sit in the typical range; 3 are breakout hits far above it.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count; typical figures are medians per column, so they can come from different games.

The lane you'd be entering
  • Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $15.
  • None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
  • A typical game here lands in Diamond ($1M+ before Steam's cut, est.). Tiers: Chris Zukowski's benchmark tiers.

Similar games

2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.6M–33.4M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.1M–$304.1M net $205.6M–$467.8M gross
$19.99
677k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival +6
2016
Est. copies
≈ 40.8M–66.3M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$168.2M–$452.3M net $305.9M–$695.9M gross
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.4M–49.4M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.1M net $75.8M–$172.5M gross
$4.99
1000k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities +6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
174k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter +6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M net $5.2M–$11.9M gross
$2.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.3M–$78.8M net $53.3M–$121.2M gross
$19.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CuteExploration +6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.0M–$64.5M net $43.6M–$99.2M gross
$19.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerDifficult +6
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$86.8M–$233.5M net $157.9M–$359.2M gross
$44.99
204k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG +6

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.

Copies and revenue are rough estimates from public review counts, not exact sales. Data from Steam and SteamSpy. About · Privacy · Examples