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How many copies did Magical Bakery sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before the cut
from 65 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Magical Bakery out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Bakery's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 86k–766k
best case 895k (Coral Island)
Games like Magical Bakery

The middle of these games

≈ 86k–766k copies

≈ $164k–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Coral Island at ≈ 682k–1.1M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 29 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Character Customization (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Coral Island
2023
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.3M before the cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimLife Sim
Mars Base
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$19.99
45 reviews
Mixed
Farming SimExploration
Staxel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 139k–226k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Farming SimCharacter Customization
ATLYSS
2024
Est. copies
≈ 568k–924k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.5M before the cut
$9.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RPGRPG
Sonic Forces
2017
Est. copies
≈ 296k–482k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before the cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Mixed
Great Soundtrack3D Platformer
Sun Haven
2023
Est. copies
≈ 630k–1.0M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before the cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
LOST EGG 2: Be together
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before the cut
$2.99
261 reviews
Very Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Only Climb: Better Together
2023
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$116k–$313k after Steam's cut $212k–$481k before the cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Precision Platformer3D Platformer

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