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How many copies did Nebula Flow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 967–2k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before the cut
from 39 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nebula Flow out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nebula Flow's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 18k–521k
best case 1.7M (Crypt of the NecroDancer)
Games like Nebula Flow

The middle of these games

≈ 18k–521k copies

≈ $336k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Crypt of the NecroDancer at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Music (7 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Female Protagonist, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

1... 2... 3... KICK IT! (Drop That Beat Like an Ugly Baby)
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
560 reviews
Mostly Negative
IndieMusic
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before the cut
$14.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
Audiosurf 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 295k–480k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before the cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
AudioSurf
2008
Est. copies
≈ 701k–1.1M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MusicRhythm
Beat Hazard 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 65k–106k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$340k–$914k after Steam's cut $618k–$1.4M before the cut
$18.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic-Based Procedural Generation
Music Killer
2019
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before the cut
$1.99
456 reviews
Mostly Positive
MusicAction
Symphony
2012
Est. copies
≈ 94k–153k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$129k–$348k after Steam's cut $235k–$535k before the cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MusicIndie
Robo Maestro
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
101 reviews
Very Positive
MusicProcedural Generation

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