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How many copies did Shards Online sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$28–$73 after Steam's cut $50–$113 before the cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 2 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shards Online out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shards Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–52.2M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Shards Online

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–52.2M copies

≈ $558–$101.0M after Steam's cut

from ~50k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5 to 76k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Battle Royale (7 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ring of Elysium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
99k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
55x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 79.8M–129.6M
25x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.1M–$589.2M after Steam's cut $398.4M–$906.5M before the cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.4M–43.0M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
PIRATECRAFT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$358–$962 after Steam's cut $650–$1k before the cut
$0.99
53 reviews
Mixed
ExplorationSandbox
Borderwatch: Dark Armada
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
$9.99
65 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionStrategy
Let It Flow
2021
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
736 reviews
Very Positive
ActionRacing
PolyRoyale
2023
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before the cut
$1.99
10 reviews
Mixed
Battle RoyaleShooter

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