How much revenue did Hand of Fate make?

$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hand of Fate sell?

Q: How many copies did Hand of Fate sell?

521k to 847k copies, based on its 11k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 521k–847k; $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before the cut; from 11k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hand of Fate out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hand of Fate's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 446k–541k

best case 8.2M (Slay the Spire)

Games like Hand of Fate

The middle of these games

≈ 446k–541k copies

≈ $2.8M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.2M copies, ≈ $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Card Game (6 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Roguelike Deckbuilder + Rogue-like; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Luck be a Landlord 2023	Est. copies ≈ 286k–464k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $785k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut	$9.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Deckbuilding
Dicey Dungeons 2019	Est. copies ≈ 340k–553k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut	$14.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Slay the Spire 2019	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.2M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut $78.4M–$178.5M before the cut	$24.99	218k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Griftlands 2021	Est. copies ≈ 359k–583k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before the cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Chrono Ark 2024	Est. copies ≈ 340k–553k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.7M before the cut	$24.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderAnime
Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 569k–924k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before the cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
Cultist Simulator 2018	Est. copies ≈ 430k–698k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before the cut	$19.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationChoices Matter
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4.9M–8.0M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.2M–$54.4M after Steam's cut $36.8M–$83.7M before the cut	$14.99	198k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder