How much revenue did The Path make?

$182k–$490k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Path sell?

Q: How many copies did The Path sell?

66k to 108k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 66k–108k; $182k–$490k after Steam's cut $331k–$754k before the cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Path out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Path's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–9.6M

best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like The Path

The middle of these games

≈ 4.8M–9.6M copies

≈ $41.0M–$62.8M after Steam's cut

from ~119k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Survival (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Battle Royale + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.7M–15.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.4M–$143.6M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$220.9M before the cut	$19.99	173k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.7M–$58.3M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$89.8M before the cut	$29.99	76k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericPsychological
Firewatch 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut	$19.99	99k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
The Isle 2015	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $32.0M–$86.1M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.5M before the cut	$19.99	119k reviews Very Positive	DinosaursSurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 94.5M–153.6M 23x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.7M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
The Long Dark 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$62.8M after Steam's cut $42.5M–$96.6M before the cut	$19.99	123k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.7M–14.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut	$14.99	138k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
INSIDE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut	$24.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2.5DPuzzle-Platformer