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How many copies did Valiant Hearts: Coming Home sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$230k before the cut
from 544 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Valiant Hearts: Coming Home out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Valiant Hearts: Coming Home's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 390k–774k
best case 1.5M (DDNet)
Games like Valiant Hearts: Coming Home

The middle of these games

≈ 390k–774k copies

≈ $1.9M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: DDNet at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 749 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Multiplayer + Level Editor; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
46k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
Hue
2016
Est. copies
≈ 472k–767k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
Deepest Sword
2021
Est. copies
≈ 270k–440k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Trine 2: Complete Story
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before the cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 666k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$914k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Neva
2024
Est. copies
≈ 262k–426k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before the cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePlatformer
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before the cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Webbed
2021
Est. copies
≈ 378k–615k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before the cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2D PlatformerCute

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