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How many copies did Matching Meadows sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 868–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
from 35 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Matching Meadows out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Matching Meadows's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–1.9M
best case 8.2M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Matching Meadows

The middle of these games

≈ 33k–1.9M copies

≈ $13k–$37.2M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.2M copies, ≈ $43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Card Game (8 of 8) and Deckbuilding (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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11x vs typical
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