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wishvane

How big is You Have to Win the Game?

Estimated owners
≈ 321k–521k
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left You Have to Win the Game out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including You Have to Win the Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–7k
best case 22k (Janosik)
Games like You Have to Win the Game

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–7k copies

≈ $16k–$17k after Steam's cut

from ~67 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Janosik at ≈ 17k–28k copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 95.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + 2D Platformer.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Necrosphere64
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Janosik
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ActionAdventure
Because its hot! Prologue
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The Witch & The 66 Mushrooms
2020
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≈ 5k–8k
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The Ramsey
2023
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ActionAdventure
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Free to PlayIndie

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