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wishvane

How many copies did Metro: Last Light Redux sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4.6M–7.4M
$25.0M–$67.3M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.5M before the cut
from 81k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Metro: Last Light Redux out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Metro: Last Light Redux's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.4M–26.7M
best case 31.7M (Dying Light)
Games like Metro: Last Light Redux

The middle of these games

≈ 14.4M–26.7M copies

≈ $124.4M–$235.5M after Steam's cut

from ~261k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Dying Light at ≈ 24.1M–39.2M copies, ≈ $165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (3 of 3) and First-Person (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Survival Horror, priced around $25.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.1M–39.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$165.8M–$445.8M after Steam's cut $301.5M–$685.8M before the cut
$24.99
494k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.5M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
261k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut
$59.99
219k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op

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