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wishvane

How many copies did Music Man 3: Last Dance sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$306–$824 after Steam's cut $556–$1k before the cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 9 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Music Man 3: Last Dance out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Music Man 3: Last Dance's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122–570
best case 1k (Hidden World Top-Down 3D)
Games like Music Man 3: Last Dance

The middle of these games

≈ 122–570 copies

≈ $153–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hidden World Top-Down 3D at ≈ 818–1k copies, ≈ $45k–$121k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 11 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Sports, priced around $200.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hidden World Top-Down 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$45k–$121k after Steam's cut $82k–$186k before the cut
$199.99
33 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionCasual
Veles Scary
2025
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$87–$236 after Steam's cut $159–$363 before the cut
$0.99
13 reviews
Positive
AdventurePuzzle
The Lighting Ages
2024
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before the cut
$1.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
Choose Your Own Adventure3D Platformer
Hidden Battle Top-Down 3D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$42k–$114k after Steam's cut $77k–$175k before the cut
$199.99
31 reviews
Mixed
Choose Your Own AdventureMedical Sim
Autumn-Time Trade-Up
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before the cut
$1.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
AdventureCasual
Roam Survival
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$183–$495 after Steam's cut $333–$761 before the cut
$8.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ExplorationChoose Your Own Adventure
The Great Adventures of Hemeko & CH0_CH0
2020
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before the cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
AdventureAction-Adventure
Separium: 12th Elevator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$303–$816 after Steam's cut $551–$1k before the cut
$8.88
5 reviews
5 user reviews
AdventureGod Game

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