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How many copies did OneShot: World Machine Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 140k–228k
$385k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $699k–$1.6M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left OneShot: World Machine Edition out and predicted the genre from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including OneShot: World Machine Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–5.0M
best case 5.8M (Stray)
Games like OneShot: World Machine Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 3.8M–5.0M copies

≈ $36.7M–$53.4M after Steam's cut

from ~107k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of your similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Stray at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (2 of 3) and Story Rich (2 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Cyberpunk, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.1M before the cut
$29.99
177k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.