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How many copies did Osmos sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 91k–148k
$250k–$673k after Steam's cut $455k–$1.0M before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Osmos out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Osmos's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–8k
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Osmos

The middle of these games

≈ 1k–8k copies

≈ $2k–$23k after Steam's cut

from ~70 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (6 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Puzzle-Platformer + First-Person + 3D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.5M–20.4M
2835x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.6M after Steam's cut $62.6M–$142.5M before the cut
$9.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
3235x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Puttler
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before the cut
$7.99
272 reviews
Very Positive
Mini GolfPhysics
Orbit HD
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before the cut
$1.99
88 reviews
Mixed
SpaceAmbient
Incredipede
2013
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$63k–$169k after Steam's cut $115k–$261k before the cut
$9.99
363 reviews
Mostly Positive
BuildingPhysics
Tiny Bubbles
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
$9.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePhysics
Relaxicon
2018
Est. copies
≈ 669–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$366–$984 after Steam's cut $666–$2k before the cut
$1.99
22 reviews
Positive
EducationSpelling
The Ball Flow - Nature and Light
2022
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$239–$640 after Steam's cut $434–$985 before the cut
$4.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
IndieRelaxing

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