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How many copies did Frederic: Evil Strikes Back sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 48k–78k
$105k–$282k after Steam's cut $191k–$434k before the cut
from 853 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Frederic: Evil Strikes Back out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frederic: Evil Strikes Back's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64k–258k
best case 364k (Trombone Champ)
Games like Frederic: Evil Strikes Back

The middle of these games

≈ 64k–258k copies

≈ $83k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Trombone Champ at ≈ 278k–451k copies, ≈ $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 730 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 206 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Comedy, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Before the Echo
2011
Est. copies
≈ 92k–149k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$126k–$339k after Steam's cut $229k–$522k before the cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmRPG
Melatonin
2022
Est. copies
≈ 203k–329k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before the cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
Wandersong
2018
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$652k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MusicAdventure
Trombone Champ
2022
Est. copies
≈ 278k–451k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmComedy
Disaster Band
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before the cut
$6.99
714 reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Frederic: Resurrection of Music Director's Cut
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$66k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before the cut
$5.99
360 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Frederic: Resurrection of Music
2014
Est. copies
≈ 60k–97k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before the cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieMusic
BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 194k–316k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive

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