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How many copies did Kaya's Prophecy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$23k–$62k after Steam's cut $42k–$95k before the cut
from 240 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Kaya's Prophecy out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kaya's Prophecy's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–7.3M
best case 20.6M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like Kaya's Prophecy

The middle of these games

≈ 1.8M–7.3M copies

≈ $20.9M–$72.6M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.7M–25.6M copies, ≈ $259.5M–$697.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Base-Building (6 of 8) and City Builder (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Historical, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 926k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.6M–$20.5M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.1M–$54.0M after Steam's cut $36.5M–$83.1M before the cut
$34.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.7M–25.6M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$259.5M–$697.7M after Steam's cut $471.8M–$1073.4M before the cut
$59.99
378k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
They Are Billions
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.8M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.5M before the cut
$29.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
Two Point Hospital
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.6M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$29.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.8M–$66.6M after Steam's cut $45.0M–$102.4M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.0M after Steam's cut $64.9M–$147.8M before the cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.2M–8.5M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.4M–$135.5M after Steam's cut $91.6M–$208.4M before the cut
$34.99
182k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS

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