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wishvane

How many copies did Way of the Samurai 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 101k–165k
$696k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Way of the Samurai 4 out and predicted the genre from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Way of the Samurai 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 708–27k
best case 1.4M (Metaphor: ReFantazio)
Games like Way of the Samurai 4

The middle of these games

≈ 708–27k copies

≈ $939–$200k after Steam's cut

from ~73 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 7 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Metaphor: ReFantazio at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5 to 15k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 7) and JRPG (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $70.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
587x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.6M before the cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Medieval Fantasy Survival Simulator 2: Gladiator Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$991–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$1.99
73 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
Disgraced
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$44k before the cut
$9.99
94 reviews
Very Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureCharacter Customization
Way of the Samurai 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$206k–$555k after Steam's cut $375k–$853k before the cut
$19.99
902 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionOpen World
Nobunaga's Shadow
2018
Est. copies
≈ 608–988
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$834–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
20 reviews
Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Illness in the East
2020
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$128–$345 after Steam's cut $233–$531 before the cut
$0.99
19 reviews
Positive
AdventureRPG
烈山海前传之黑帝君临
2022
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before the cut
$2.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ExplorationRPG

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