How much revenue did Nobunaga's Shadow make?

$834–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nobunaga's Shadow sell?

Q: How many copies did Nobunaga's Shadow sell?

608 to 988 copies, based on its 20 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 608–988; $834–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before the cut; from 20 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nobunaga's Shadow out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nobunaga's Shadow's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–20k

best case 27k (The Use of Life)

Games like Nobunaga's Shadow

The middle of these games

≈ 7k–20k copies

≈ $43k–$127k after Steam's cut

from ~317 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Use of Life at ≈ 20k–33k copies, ≈ $111k–$299k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6 to 611.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on JRPG (5 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure + CRPG, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Long Gone Days 2023	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $95k–$254k after Steam's cut $172k–$391k before the cut	$24.99	555 reviews Very Positive	PoliticalStory Rich
Lawless Lands 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut	$12.99	119 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureDungeons & Dragons
유어 블라이트 2022	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $43k–$116k after Steam's cut $79k–$179k before the cut	$19.99	317 reviews Very Positive	RPGCRPG
The Use of Life 2025	Est. copies ≈ 20k–33k 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $111k–$299k after Steam's cut $202k–$460k before the cut	$19.99	815 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureCRPG
City of Chains 2015	Est. copies ≈ 17k–27k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$171k before the cut	$8.99	343 reviews Mostly Positive	IndieRPG
Introvert Quest 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before the cut	$2.99	149 reviews Mostly Positive	MysteryAdventure
Dyztopia: Post-Human RPG 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut	$4.99	48 reviews Positive	RPGParty-Based RPG
Star Knightess Aura 2025	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $36k–$97k after Steam's cut $65k–$149k before the cut	$24.99	211 reviews Very Positive	Dark FantasySexual Content