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How big is Age of Conquest IV?

Estimated owners
≈ 117k–191k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Age of Conquest IV out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Age of Conquest IV's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.4M
best case 2.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER)
Games like Age of Conquest IV

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–2.4M copies

≈ $4.6M–$30.5M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies, ≈ $35.9M–$96.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 975 to 18k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8) and War (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fantasy + RTS, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition
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