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How many copies did Lightning Katana sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
from 27 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Lightning Katana out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lightning Katana's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–4.7M
best case 7.9M (ULTRAKILL)
Games like Lightning Katana

The middle of these games

≈ 1.8M–4.7M copies

≈ $15.8M–$57.7M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.0M–9.7M copies, ≈ $49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 40 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fast-Paced (5 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DOOM + DOOM II
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before the cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.7M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.4M–$132.9M after Steam's cut $89.9M–$204.5M before the cut
$29.99
242k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
DOOM: The Dark Ages
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.0M after Steam's cut $39.2M–$89.2M before the cut
$69.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Ghostrunner
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before the cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCyberpunk
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.3M after Steam's cut $74.6M–$169.8M before the cut
$29.99
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Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
DUSK
2018
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$19.99
25k reviews
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Boomer ShooterFPS
Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$19.99
76k reviews
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VRRhythm
Herald of Havoc
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$133k before the cut
$16.99
277 reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterStylized

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