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How many copies did Hardland sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
$114k–$307k after Steam's cut $207k–$472k before the cut
from 576 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Hardland out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hardland's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–16.0M
best case 56.7M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition)
Games like Hardland

The middle of these games

≈ 6.7M–16.0M copies

≈ $50.4M–$371.4M after Steam's cut

from ~168k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition at ≈ 43.2M–70.2M copies, ≈ $593.9M–$1596.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (7 of 8) and Fantasy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$44.99
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The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.2M–70.2M
5.3x vs typical
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Est. revenue
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Open WorldRPG
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut
2008
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≈ 5.5M–9.0M
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$15.2M–$40.7M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.7M before the cut
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87k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
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2023
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2.2x vs typical
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MagicOpen World
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≈ 21.2M–34.4M
5.1x vs typical
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The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition
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≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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RPGFantasy
STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before the cut
$9.99
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Very Positive
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Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
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$39.99
130k reviews
Very Positive

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