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How many copies did The Halloween Incident sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$92–$246 after Steam's cut $167–$378 before the cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 2 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Halloween Incident out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Halloween Incident's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 266k–762k
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like The Halloween Incident

The middle of these games

≈ 266k–762k copies

≈ $1.2M–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 542 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Death and Taxes
2020
Est. copies
≈ 211k–343k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$755k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut
$12.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Tricolour Lovestory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 965k–1.6M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $960k–$2.2M before the cut
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Visual NovelDating Sim
NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 178k–290k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$979k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAdventure
小白兔电商~Bunny e-Shop
2021
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
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$10.99
10k reviews
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CapitalismVisual Novel
Long Live The Queen
2013
Est. copies
≈ 453k–736k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.1M before the cut
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Visual NovelPolitical Sim
Emily is Away <3
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
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7k reviews
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Choices MatterSimulation
Yog-Sothoth’s Yard
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$10.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDating Sim

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