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How many copies did Windward sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 177k–288k
$487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $885k–$2.0M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Windward out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Windward's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 341k–681k
best case 2.6M (Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™)
Games like Windward

The middle of these games

≈ 341k–681k copies

≈ $2.6M–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Pirates (8 of 8) and Naval Combat (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pirates + Open World, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2005 to 2025, and 1 of your 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.6M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.6M before the cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World
Pixel Piracy
2014
Est. copies
≈ 412k–669k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSandbox
Naval Action
2019
Est. copies
≈ 426k–693k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before the cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mixed
SailingNaval Combat
The Pirate: Caribbean Hunt
2016
Est. copies
≈ 193k–314k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Blackwake
2020
Est. copies
≈ 646k–1.1M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesMultiplayer
Like a Dragon: Pirate Yakuza in Hawaii
2025
Est. copies
≈ 244k–397k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.7M before the cut
$59.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Sid Meier's Pirates!
2005
Est. copies
≈ 476k–774k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World
Blazing Sails
2023
Est. copies
≈ 265k–431k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opNaval Combat

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