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How many copies did Sid Meier's Pirates! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 476k–774k
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Sid Meier's Pirates! out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sid Meier's Pirates!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 675k–1.5M
best case 2.6M (Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™)
Games like Sid Meier's Pirates!

The middle of these games

≈ 675k–1.5M copies

≈ $5.7M–$13.6M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™ at ≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Pirates (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pirates + Open World, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2005 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ATLAS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before the cut
$29.99
43k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World
Risen 2: Dark Waters
2012
Est. copies
≈ 429k–697k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
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RPGPirates
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 543k–882k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.7M before the cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeHack and Slash
GreedFall
2019
Est. copies
≈ 633k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before the cut
$34.99
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
Naval Action
2019
Est. copies
≈ 426k–693k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before the cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mixed
SailingNaval Combat
Gothic II: Gold Edition
2005
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before the cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RPGClassic
Pillars of Eternity II: Deadfire
2018
Est. copies
≈ 609k–989k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.8M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG
Assassin’s Creed® IV Black Flag™
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.2M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.6M after Steam's cut $38.9M–$88.6M before the cut
$39.99
79k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesOpen World

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