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How many copies did Misty Judgment sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 38k–61k
$93k–$250k after Steam's cut $169k–$385k before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Misty Judgment out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Misty Judgment's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–1.3M
best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)
Games like Misty Judgment

The middle of these games

≈ 13k–1.3M copies

≈ $169k–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (5 of 8) and FMV (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before the cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$497k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $903k–$2.1M before the cut
$1.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth
2021
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$172k–$464k after Steam's cut $314k–$713k before the cut
$22.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before the cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3
Not For Broadcast
2022
Est. copies
≈ 314k–510k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before the cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure1980s
BornWild • Versus Season 1, Vol.1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
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5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionIndie
Psychiatrist Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$4.99
33 reviews
Mixed
SimulationInteractive Fiction
Agarta
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before the cut
$2.99
523 reviews
Mostly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureInteractive Fiction

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