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How many copies did LIGHTNING RETURNS™: FINAL FANTASY® XIII sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 236k–383k
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left LIGHTNING RETURNS™: FINAL FANTASY® XIII out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LIGHTNING RETURNS™: FINAL FANTASY® XIII's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–7.4M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like LIGHTNING RETURNS™: FINAL FANTASY® XIII

The middle of these games

≈ 2.5M–7.4M copies

≈ $22.7M–$123.5M after Steam's cut

from ~85k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Fantasy (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 12k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fantasy (4 of 8) and JRPG (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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