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How many copies did Magic Frog sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$381–$1k after Steam's cut $692–$2k before the cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Magic Frog out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magic Frog's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 120k–214k
best case 297k (Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy)
Games like Magic Frog

The middle of these games

≈ 120k–214k copies

≈ $674k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy at ≈ 226k–367k copies, ≈ $435k–$1.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 3k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Bullet Hell (8 of 8) and Score Attack (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Anime, priced around $7.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Touhou Hero of Ice Fairy
2024
Est. copies
≈ 226k–367k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$435k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $790k–$1.8M before the cut
$6.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAnime
Typomancer in the Feather's Way
2021
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$4.99
21 reviews
Positive
TypingSpelling
Astro Attack
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before the cut
$2.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Shoot 'Em UpScore Attack
Greedland
2025
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$297k–$797k after Steam's cut $539k–$1.2M before the cut
$12.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
BATTLE ARENA: Robot Apocalypse
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$101–$272 after Steam's cut $184–$419 before the cut
$0.99
15 reviews
Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
BLACK BIRD
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before the cut
$18.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpDark Fantasy
TEVI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 100k–163k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$829k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAnime
UKI-UKI-TENGOKU2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Side ScrollerAction

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