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How many copies did Styx: Shards of Darkness sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 240k–390k
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Styx: Shards of Darkness out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Styx: Shards of Darkness's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–7.0M
best case 10.2M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like Styx: Shards of Darkness

The middle of these games

≈ 4.5M–7.0M copies

≈ $41.2M–$54.6M after Steam's cut

from ~75k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.6M copies, ≈ $42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (8 of 8) and Third Person (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.2M–$81.3M after Steam's cut $55.0M–$125.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
Batman: Arkham City - Game of the Year Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.8M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before the cut
$19.99
78k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionOpen World
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.7M before the cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
A Plague Tale: Innocence
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.6M–$60.8M after Steam's cut $41.1M–$93.6M before the cut
$39.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichAdventure
Assassin's Creed 2
2010
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before the cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Hitman: Absolution™
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before the cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World

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