How much revenue did Thumper make?

$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Thumper sell?

Q: How many copies did Thumper sell?

183k to 298k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 183k–298k; $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before the cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Thumper out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Thumper's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–3.0M

best case 46.9M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Thumper

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–3.0M copies

≈ $6.3M–$15.9M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 35.7M–58.0M copies, ≈ $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Rhythm (8 of 8) and Music (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Precision Platformer + Level Editor + 2D; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
A Dance of Fire and Ice 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.0M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.4M before the cut	$5.99	83k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Crypt of the NecroDancer 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before the cut	$14.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmFemale Protagonist
DJMAX RESPECT V 2020	Est. copies ≈ 863k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut	$49.99	35k reviews Very Positive	RhythmMusic
Just Shapes & Beats 2018	Est. copies ≈ 790k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before the cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RhythmGreat Soundtrack
Super Hexagon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut	$2.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DifficultGreat Soundtrack
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 35.7M–58.0M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut	$4.99	638k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm