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How many copies did The Music Machine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–49k
$41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before the cut
from 614 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Music Machine out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Music Machine's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–3.9M
best case 11.5M (Outlast)
Games like The Music Machine

The middle of these games

≈ 2.1M–3.9M copies

≈ $14.8M–$40.4M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Outlast at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (5 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $15.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.3M after Steam's cut $22.5M–$51.2M before the cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Mouthwashing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 952k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before the cut
$12.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before the cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Counter-Strike Nexon
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
43k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS

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