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wishvane

How many copies did Fran Bow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before the cut
from 23k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Fran Bow out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fran Bow's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.1M–22.2M
best case 40.4M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Fran Bow

The middle of these games

≈ 8.1M–22.2M copies

≈ $80.7M–$136.5M after Steam's cut

from ~271k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Story Rich (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 30.8M–50.0M copies, ≈ $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (3 of 8) and Anime (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.2M–$196.7M after Steam's cut $133.0M–$302.7M before the cut
$39.99
268k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$301.6M–$810.8M after Steam's cut $548.3M–$1247.4M before the cut
$59.99
439k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Doki Doki Literature Club!
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
227k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 30.8M–50.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$74.9M–$201.3M after Steam's cut $136.1M–$309.7M before the cut
$39.99
275k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.1M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.9M before the cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.