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How many copies did Contradiction: Spot The Liar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 159k–258k
$566k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Contradiction: Spot The Liar out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contradiction: Spot The Liar's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 47k–52k
best case 666k (Her Story)
Games like Contradiction: Spot The Liar

The middle of these games

≈ 47k–52k copies

≈ $213k–$295k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Her Story at ≈ 507k–824k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 706 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 137 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on FMV (5 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Investigation, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Investigation; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Nikopol: Secrets of the Immortals
2009
Est. copies
≈ 25k–40k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$141k before the cut
$4.99
394 reviews
Mixed
Choose Your Own AdventurePoint & Click
Telling Lies
2019
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$209k–$563k after Steam's cut $381k–$866k before the cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
MysteryFMV
The Operator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 219k–355k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$842k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before the cut
$13.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveInvestigation
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 507k–824k
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
Who Pressed Mute on Uncle Marcus?
2022
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$123k–$330k after Steam's cut $223k–$507k before the cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mixed
FMVAdventure
Misty Judgment
2025
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$93k–$250k after Steam's cut $169k–$385k before the cut
$8.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessInteractive Fiction
She Sees Red - Interactive Movie
2019
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$200k–$539k after Steam's cut $364k–$829k before the cut
$7.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Choices MatterFMV
Erica
2021
Est. copies
≈ 44k–71k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$144k–$387k after Steam's cut $261k–$595k before the cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureFMV

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