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How many copies did The Surge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 420k–682k
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before the cut
from 12k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Surge out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Surge's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 792k–2.8M
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like The Surge

The middle of these games

≈ 792k–2.8M copies

≈ $6.9M–$67.3M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.0M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 46k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Third Person (8 of 8) and Sci-fi (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Souls-like, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Surge 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before the cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive
CONTROL Ultimate Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.2M–$46.1M after Steam's cut $31.2M–$71.0M before the cut
$39.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSupernatural
STAR WARS™ - The Force Unleashed™ Ultimate Sith Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 773k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
LIZARDS MUST DIE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$720k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$3.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalSouls-like
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before the cut
$59.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.2M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.5M before the cut
$69.99
86k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
ARMORED CORE™ VI FIRES OF RUBICON™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.0M–$94.2M after Steam's cut $63.7M–$144.9M before the cut
$59.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
MechsCharacter Customization

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