How much revenue did Overfall make?

$50k–$135k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Overfall sell?

Q: How many copies did Overfall sell?

37k to 60k copies, based on its 881 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 37k–60k; $50k–$135k after Steam's cut $91k–$208k before the cut; from 881 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Overfall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Overfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 257k–335k

best case 27.2M (The Forest)

Games like Overfall

The middle of these games

≈ 257k–335k copies

≈ $976k–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 809 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 269 to 9k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Survival (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Horror + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pretend 2021	Est. copies ≈ 32k–52k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Mixed	Early AccessCasual
Eternal Edge + 2022	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $80k–$214k after Steam's cut $145k–$329k before the cut	$14.99	779 reviews Mixed	Action RPGExploration
Home Behind 2016	Est. copies ≈ 256k–415k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $421k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $765k–$1.7M before the cut	$5.99	6k reviews Very Positive	AdventureRPG
The Matchless Kungfu 2024	Est. copies ≈ 196k–318k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut	$19.99	8k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldMartial Arts
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.7M–33.6M 86x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut	$19.99	681k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Book of Yog Idle RPG 2022	Est. copies ≈ 221k–359k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Mixed	AdventureMassively Multiplayer
Caves of Qud 2024	Est. copies ≈ 313k–508k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before the cut	$29.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Procedural GenerationTurn-Based Combat
Curious Expedition 2 2021	Est. copies ≈ 103k–167k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	AdventureSimulation